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+# Day-Ahead Wind Speed Forecasting for Nord Pool Bidding
+
+Pluto notebook accompanying the individual weather data paper for *Introduction to Business Analytics* (EBC1042), Maastricht University School of Business and Economics.
+
+The paper proposes a day-ahead wind speed forecasting tool for the Alajärvi Wind Farm Complex (Ilmatar Energy), using daily FMI station data from Meteostat.
+
+## Models
+
+| Model | Description |
+|-------|-------------|
+| M0 | Persistence baseline (tomorrow = today) |
+| M1 | Static OLS on Möksy plus the four inner-ring stations (10 lags) |
+| M2 | Rolling 365-day OLS on Möksy plus inner and outer rings (18 lags) |
+
+All models predict day *t* from observations at *t − 1* and *t − 2*. Calibration runs January 2021 to October 2025, and the holdout runs October 2025 to October 2026.
+
+## Running the notebook
+
+Requires [Julia](https://julialang.org/downloads/) and [Pluto.jl](https://plutojl.org/).
+
+```bash
+julia -e 'using Pluto; Pluto.run(notebook="Paper.jl")'
+```
+
+Pluto installs the required packages (GLM, DataFrames, LinearAlgebra) automatically on first run.
+
+## Data
+
+Daily wind speed observations from FMI synoptic stations, retrieved via [Meteostat](https://meteostat.net/). Place the data files in the project folder as described in the notebook.
+
+## Files
+
+- `Paper.jl`: the Pluto notebook with the full analysis
+- `README.md`: this file
+- `LICENSE`: license terms
+
+## Author
+
+Mikka Anton Petterson
+\ No newline at end of file